Mega Evolution Chaos Rising Guide: ETB Contents, Chase Cards & Value (Australia)
Grailborne Set Guide
Chaos Rising (ME04) is the fourth English Mega Evolution expansion, released 22 May 2026 — a tight 122-card set built around one of the most wanted Pokémon in the franchise: Mega Greninja ex. Here’s exactly what’s in the box, where the value sits, and what the early market is telling Australian buyers.
What’s in the Elite Trainer Box
The Chaos Rising ETB is the core sealed product for openers — nine packs plus the set’s exclusive promo and the full accessory set:
- 9 booster packs — your shot at the set’s Mega Evolution ex, Illustration Rare and Special Illustration Rare line-up.
- Fennekin full-art foil promo — an ETB-exclusive card you won’t pull from boosters.
- 65 card sleeves + 40 energy cards — featuring Chaos Rising artwork.
- Accessories — 6 damage-counter dice, a coin-flip die, a plastic coin, a player’s guide, the collector’s box with 6 dividers, and a code card for TCG Live.
What to buy and why
Three ways into the set, depending on whether you’re sampling, opening seriously or holding:
The chase cards
Chaos Rising carries six Special Illustration Rares plus a gold Mega Hyper Rare at the very top — but the value is heavily concentrated in one Pokémon. These are the cards driving demand:
| Mega Greninja ex — Special Illustration Rare (#116) | ~US$476 |
| Mega Greninja ex — Mega Hyper Rare (#122) | ~US$375 |
| Cinccino ex — Special Illustration Rare | ~US$100 |
| Mega Dragalge ex — Special Illustration Rare | ~US$80 |
| Mega Floette ex — Special Illustration Rare | ~US$67 |
One detail stands out: the Mega Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare has traded above the gold Mega Hyper Rare since launch — unusual for the Mega Evolution era, where the gold variant normally tops the chart. That’s collector demand for the artwork, not just rarity.
What the market is telling us
Our read on any set is simple: value follows pull difficulty × character popularity. Chaos Rising is a textbook case. Mega Greninja ex sits at the hardest rung of a 122-card ladder — one of just six Special Illustration Rares — and Greninja is one of the most popular Pokémon ever printed. That combination is why a single SIR comfortably exceeds the price of a sealed booster box. The honest counterpoint: the card has already cooled from a roughly US$594 day-one peak to around US$476 as supply caught up, so the launch froth is deflating rather than building. Outside Greninja, the value drops off sharply — the next SIRs sit near US$100 and below.
Why this set has staying power
Demand here is anchored to the character, not the hype cycle. Greninja won the first-ever Pokémon of the Year vote in 2020 with 140,559 votes — finishing ahead of Lucario, Mimikyu and Charizard, with Pikachu down in 19th. A ninja-typed starter with that level of fan backing, given its first Mega card in this set, is the kind of subject that holds collector interest long after a release-week spike fades. Pair that with the finite Mega Evolution print window and you have the profile of a chase that stays relevant.
The buyer’s call
If you’re opening, the ETB is the sweet spot — nine packs, the Fennekin promo and the full accessory set, with a real (if long) shot at the Mega Greninja ex SIR. If you’re holding, go in clear-eyed: this set is only weeks old, sealed product still sits near retail, and the headline single has already come off its peak, so don’t overpay chasing release-day prices. Sealed Pokémon typically needs one to three years to clear MSRP, and Mega Evolution–era sets print heavily — don’t expect Prismatic-style scarcity. If you do hold, store boxes flat, cool and dry, out of direct sun. Australian allocation is tight but available now, so the practical constraint is supply, not timing.
Sources: Pokemon.com, TCGplayer, Cardrake. Card values are secondary-market estimates and vary by condition and time. Pull results vary; Pokémon does not publish per-card odds.
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